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China warned to act quickly to avoid deflation

By Jamil Anderlini in Beijing

Published: March 10 2009 04:05 | Last updated: March 10 2009 20:09

Prices paid by Chinese consumers fell for the first time in more than six years last month, official data showed on Tuesday, prompting warnings from economists that the government will need to act quickly if the country is to avoid a bout of deflation.

China’s benchmark consumer price index fell by 1.6 per cent in February from a year earlier, after a 1 per cent rise in January, amid cooling domestic demand and widespread overcapacity.

The year-on-year drop in prices marked the tenth consecutive month of moderating inflation and contrasted with an increase in the index of 8.7 per cent in February last year, the biggest rise in more than a decade, when food and energy prices were soaring.

Beijing has targeted headline inflation of 4 per cent this year. But analysts said that the government would struggle to meet that target and would have to act quickly if it was to avoid a period of prolonged deflation.

“While the recent surge in money supply growth should translate into higher inflation, shrinking demand and excess capacity is instead generating deflation,” said Jing Ulrich, chairman of China equities at JPMorgan.

The fall in consumer prices was outstripped by a 4.5 per cent decline in the producer price index which tracks prices paid at the factory gate.

China’s National Bureau of Statistics took the unusual step of issuing a statement saying it was too early to say deflation had taken hold in the country and that falls in the indices were largely due to lower raw material prices and distortions from holidays.

“Recent downward pressure on prices in China are very obvious but there is a big difference between our current situation and typical deflation,” Yi Gang, vice-governor of the central bank, told state media.

More in this section

China prices fall for first time in six years

China to cut taxes to zero and boost weak exports

China acts to shore up weakening exports

Plunging assets cost $50,000bn

Bold China sees signs of recovery

A fog of war that China can ill afford

China sets sights on 8% rise in growth

Chinese stimulus

China says ready to talk peace with Taiwan

Common goals for China and the US

Hopes for Chinese stimulus lift stocks



Editorial

End the Rockefeller Drug Laws

Published: March 9, 2009

After 35 years of filling the state’s prisons with drug offenders who needed treatment and disproportionately punishing poor and minority offenders, New York is on the verge of dismantling its infamous Rockefeller drug laws. To get there, Gov. David Paterson and some prosecutors will have to drop their objections to a reasonable provision on second-time offenders.

The Assembly voted last week to restore judicial discretion and end mandatory sentencing for many nonviolent low-level drug crimes. The bill, which has been introduced in the State Senate as well, would limit the longstanding and widely discredited system under which prosecutors decide who goes to jail and for how long.

Once the measure becomes law, courts would be able to sentence many addicts to treatment instead of cramming them into prisons where addiction generally goes untreated.

Republican senators who represent prison districts have long obstructed reforms like these. The latest attempt seems likely to succeed now that Democrats control the governor’s mansion and both houses of the Legislature — if Assembly lawmakers can broker a deal with the governor and some prosecutors in the state.

The prime sticking point is likely to involve a provision of the Assembly bill that deals with second-time offenders — who make up the largest group of people jailed under the laws. The Assembly bill would do away with mandatory sentences for low-level, second-time offenders who have not committed violent crimes.

Mr. Paterson and his allies in law enforcement believe that would send the wrong message to the communities where drug crimes are committed and to the police officers who have worked hard to make these cases. They also fear that without mandatory sentences, some offenders might ignore treatment sanctions. But sentencing statistics show that judges can be very harsh in such cases.

The Assembly bill provides for judicial discretion for a well-defined group of second-timers while preserving lengthy, mandatory sentences for second-timers with either histories of violence or records of having committed sex crimes or sold drugs to children. The provision protects the public safety by making sure that dangerous offenders go to jail. It allows judges to deal differently with the low-level second-timers who deserve treatment.

This is consistent with drug treatment research, which shows that addicts — many of whom sell to feed their habits — often pass through the system without receiving treatment. That means they often end up back on the streets. The provision also is consistent with the main thrust of the reform effort, which is to restore judicial discretion in drug cases. The Assembly provision deserves to carry the day.



Dalai Lama warns Tibetans are 'near extinction' at 50th anniversary of exile

The Dalai Lama, Tibet's spiritual leader, has marked 50 years of his flight from China and exile in India with a defiant speech praising the sacrifices of those killed during last year's uprising, but warning that Tibetan identity was "nearing extinction."

 
10 March 09: It is 50 years since the Dalai Lama left Tibet. Watch Pro-Tibetan campaigners take their protest to the House of Commons. ; http://link.brightcove.com/services/link/bcpid1488655367/bctid15239704001 http://www.brightcove.com/channel.jsp?channel=1139053637

Despite 50 years of international campaigning and fruitless negotiations with Chinese leaders, Tibetans were still treated like criminals in their own country, he said.

"These 50 years have brought untold suffering and destruction to the land and people of Tibet. Even today, Tibetans in Tibet live in constant fear and the Chinese authorities remain constantly suspicious of them," he told followers in Dharamsala, the Indian home of his government in exile.

"Today, the religion, culture, language and identity, which successive generations of Tibetans have considered more precious than their lives, are nearing extinction; in short, the Tibetan people are regarded like criminals deserving to be put to death," he said.

He charted his exiled government's successive attempts to negotiate a settlement with Beijing which would allow Tibetans to preserve their unique culture and to live in autonomy within the People's Republic of China, but said repeated promises from Chairman Mao Tse-tung, Zhou Enlai and Deng Xiaoping, had come to nothing.

Negotiations continue to break down because Chinese officials insist Tibetans accept their country has always been a part of China, which he said was not only "inaccurate but also unreasonable. We cannot change the past no matter whether it was good or bad," he said.

The Communist government in China had imposed the Cultural Revolution, commune experiments and violent and repressive campaigns on the Tibetans, and more recently, following the brutal suppression of last year's uprising, had forced them to endure "patriotic re-education." These measures had "thrust Tibetans into such depths of suffering and hardship that they literally experienced hell on earth. The immediate result of these campaigns was the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Tibetans," he said.

Though now semi-retired, he pledged to continue campaigning for Tibetan freedom, and urged his exiled followers to "hope for the best but prepare for the worst."



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Home Nation/World Madoff Charged With 11 Felonies, Faces 150 Years in Prison
Madoff Charged With 11 Felonies, Faces 150 Years in Prison PDF Print E-mail
Written by The Public Record   
Tuesday, 10 March 2009 15:14

From the FBI:

LEV L. DASSIN, the Acting United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York, JOSEPH M. DEMAREST, JR., the Assistant Director-in-Charge of the New York Field Office of the Federal Bureau of Investigation ("FBI"), and ALAN D. LEBOWITZ, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of the United States Department of Labor, Employee Benefits Security Administration ("DOL-EBSA"), announced the filing today of a Criminal Information in Manhattan federal court charging BERNARD L. MADOFF with eleven felony charges including securities fraud, investment adviser fraud, mail fraud, wire fraud, three counts of money laundering, false statements, perjury, false filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), and theft from an employee benefit plan. There is no plea agreement between the government and the defendant.

If found guilty of all counts, MADOFF, 70, faces a statutory maximum sentence of 150 years' incarceration. MADOFF is also subject to mandatory restitution and faces fines up to twice the gross gain or loss derived from the offense. The Criminal Information filed today also includes forfeiture allegations which would require MADOFF to forfeit the proceeds of the charged crimes, as well as all property involved in the money laundering offenses and all property traceable to such property. The statutory maximum sentences for each of the charged offenses are set forth in an attached chart.

Specifically, the Criminal Information alleges that:

BERNARD L. MADOFF is the founder, and served as the sole member and principal, of Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC, and its predecessor, Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities, (collectively and separately, "BLMIS"). BLMIS was a broker-dealer, with its principal place of business in New York City, which engaged in three principal types of business: market making; proprietary trading; and investment advisory services. Madoff Securities International Ltd. ("MSIL") was an affiliate of BLMIS incorporated in the United Kingdom, which engaged principally in proprietary trading. MADOFF owned the majority of the voting shares of MSIL, and served as the Chairman of MSIL's Board of Directors.

From at least the 1980s until his arrest on December 11, 2008, MADOFF perpetrated a scheme to defraud the clients of BLMIS by soliciting billions of dollars of funds under false pretenses, failing to invest investors' funds as promised, and misappropriating and converting investors' funds to MADOFF's own benefit and the benefit of others without the knowledge or authorization of the investors.

To execute the scheme, MADOFF solicited and caused others to solicit prospective clients to open trading accounts with BLMIS, based upon his promise to use investor funds to purchase shares of common stock, options, and other securities of large, well-known corporations, and representations that he would achieve high rates of return for clients, with limited risk. However, as MADOFF well knew, these representations were false. MADOFF failed to invest the BLMIS investment advisory clients' funds in securities as he had promised. Instead, notwithstanding representations that MADOFF made and caused to be made on tens of thousands of account statements and other documents sent to BLMIS clients throughout the operation of the scheme, MADOFF operated a massive Ponzi scheme in which client funds were misappropriated and converted to the use of MADOFF, BLMIS, and others.

In connection with the Ponzi scheme, MADOFF accepted billions of dollars of investor money—cumulatively, from individual investors, charitable organizations, trusts, pension funds, and hedge funds, among others—and established on their behalf thousands of accounts at BLMIS.

Among the false representations he made to clients and prospective clients about his investment strategies, MADOFF marketed an investment strategy referred to as a "split strike conversion" strategy. Clients were promised that BLMIS would invest their funds in a basket of approximately 35-50 common stocks within the Standard & Poor's 100 Index (the "S&P 100"), a collection of the 100 largest publicly traded companies in terms of their market capitalization. MADOFF claimed that he would select a basket of stocks that would closely mimic the price movements of the S&P 100. MADOFF further claimed that he would opportunistically time those purchases, and would be "out of the market" intermittently, investing clients' funds in these periods in United States Government-issued securities such as United States Treasury bills. MADOFF also claimed that he would hedge the investments that he made in the basket of common stocks by using investor funds to buy and sell option contracts related to those stocks, thereby limiting potential losses caused by unpredictable changes in stock prices.

Further, to induce new and continued investments by clients and prospective clients, MADOFF promised certain clients annual returns in varying amounts of up to approximately 46 percent per year. MADOFF also told certain clients that the fee for his services would be based on an approximately $0.04 per share commission on the stocks that MADOFF traded for such clients.

Contrary to promises that he would use investor funds to purchase securities on their behalf and invest client funds pursuant to the strategies he had marketed, MADOFF used most of the investors' funds to meet the periodic redemption requests of other investors. In addition, MADOFF took some of these clients' investment funds as "commissions," which he used to support the market making and proprietary trading businesses of BLMIS, and from which he and others received millions of dollars in benefits.

MADOFF created and caused to be created a broad infrastructure at BLMIS to generate the impression and support the appearance that BLMIS was operating a legitimate investment advisory business in which client funds were actively traded as he had promised, and to conceal the fact that no such business was actually being conducted. Among other things, MADOFF hired numerous employees—many of whom had little or no prior pertinent training or experience in the securities industry—to serve as a "back office" for this investment advisory business. MADOFF directed those BLMIS employees to communicate with clients and generate false and fraudulent documents, including monthly client account statements and trade confirmations purporting to reflect the purchases and sales of securities which MADOFF claimed were conducted on behalf of BLMIS's clients. Furthermore, account statements and trade confirmations sent to clients reflected fictitious returns consistent with the returns that had previously been promised to them.

Moreover, to support BLMIS's market making and proprietary trading businesses, between at least 2002 and about 2008, MADOFF caused more than $250 million of BLMIS investment advisory clients' funds to be directed, through a series of wire transfers, to the operating accounts that funded the operations of these businesses. Specifically, MADOFF caused those investor funds to be sent from a BLMIS account in New York City (the "BLMIS Client Account") to accounts held by BLMIS-affiliate MSIL in London, United Kingdom (the "MSIL Accounts"). He then further caused funds to be transferred from the MSIL Accounts to either the BLMIS Client Account or to another bank account in New York City, which was principally used to fund BLMIS's operations.

MADOFF directed these funds transfers, in part, to give the appearance that he was conducting securities transactions in Europe on behalf of the investors when, in fact, he was not. MADOFF also directed the transfer of funds from the MSIL Accounts to purchase and maintain property and services for the personal use and benefit of MADOFF, his family members, and associates.

To conceal his scheme, MADOFF, among other things, withheld information from regulators and repeatedly lied to the SEC in written submissions and in sworn testimony.

In furtherance of the scheme, MADOFF caused fraudulent certified financial statements for BLMIS, including balance sheets, statements of income, statements of cash flows, and reports on internal control, to be created. MADOFF further caused such fraudulent financial statements to be sent to clients and prospective clients and to be filed with the SEC. MADOFF knew that the certification attached to the BLMIS financial statements falsely averred that those statements had been prepared in accordance with Generally Accepted Auditing Standards and Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.

As of November 30, 2008, BLMIS had approximately 4,800 client accounts. On December 1, 2008, BLMIS issued account statements for the calendar month of November 2008 reporting that those client accounts held a total balance of approximately $64.8 billion. In fact, BLMIS held only a small fraction of that balance on behalf of its clients.

MADOFF is expected to appear at a plea proceeding on March 12, 2009, at 10:00 a.m. before United States District Judge DENNY CHIN in Manhattan federal court. Pursuant to an order issued by Judge CHIN on March 6, 2009, any individual who wishes to be heard during that proceeding must send notice via e-mail to the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York at This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it by 10:00 a.m. on March 11, 2009.

Mr. DASSIN praised the investigative work of the FBI and the DOL-EBSA. Mr. DASSIN also thanked the SEC for its assistance.

"The charges reflect an extraordinary array of crimes committed by Bernard Madoff for over twenty years. While the alleged crimes are not novel, the size and scope of Mr. Madoff's fraud are unprecedented. As a result, Mr. Madoff faces one hundred fifty years in prison, mandatory restitution to the victims of his crimes, forfeiture of his ill-gotten gains, and criminal fines. The government has not entered into any agreement with Mr. Madoff about his plea or sentencing," said Acting United States Attorney LEV L. DASSIN. "The filing of these charges does not end the matter. Our investigation is continuing."

Assistant United States Attorneys MARC LITT, LISA A. BARONI, WILLIAM J. STELLMACH, BARBARA A. WARD, and SHARON FRASE, are in charge of the prosecution.

The charges and allegations contained in the Criminal Information are merely accusations, and the defendant is presumed innocent unless and until proven guilty.

###

STATUTORY MAXIMUM SENTENCES
United States v. Bernard L. Madoff

Count

Charge

Maximum Penalties

ONE

Securities Fraud

20 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $5 million or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

TWO

Investment Adviser Fraud

5 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $10,000 or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

THREE

Mail Fraud

20 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $250,000 or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

FOUR

Wire Fraud

20 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $250,000 or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

FIVE

International Money Laundering to Promote Specified Unlawful Activity

20 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $500,000 or twice the value of the monetary instruments or funds involved, or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

SIX

International Money Laundering to Conceal and Disguise the Proceeds of Specified Unlawful Activity

20 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $500,000 or twice the value of the monetary instruments or funds involved, or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

SEVEN

Money Laundering

10 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $250,000 or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

EIGHT

False Statements

5 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $250,000 or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

NINE

Perjury

5 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $250,000, or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

TEN

Making a False Filing with the SEC

20 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $5,000,000 or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

ELEVEN

Theft from an Employee Benefit Plan

5 years in prison; 3 years' supervised release; fine of the greatest of $250,000, or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense; and restitution

 

 
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Last Updated on Tuesday, 10 March 2009 15:23
 


Make Detroit the next retirement community

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Filed under: Real Estate, Retire, Recession

I recently wrote about the new average home price in Detroit: a whopping $6,035. I'm skeptical about it being a good investment because of the city's soaring vacancy rates and abysmal long-term outlook. But then I thought about it some more and had an idea: Detroit could be the new Florida.

America's sub-zero savings rate and tanking stock market has left many soon-to-be retirees in grave danger as far as retirement security. What better way to make retirement affordable than to move to a place where homes can be had for a measly $6,000?

I know: Detroit's cold and bleak, but at least they'll be able to afford the heating bill. I hereby propose that as far of the federal stimulus package, the government invest in making Detroit the retirement destination for low-income workers with depleted savings. There are plenty of dilapidated commercial buildings that could be turned into tourist traps and fun activities. There's already enough infrastructure in place to turn Detroit into a cheaper version of Branson.

That seems like a much better option for Detroit than pumping endless taxpayer cash into the auto industry. Displaced autoworkers can get jobs taking care of old people, and Detroit can perform a valuable service to the rest of the country by providing an affordable retirement mecca for people whose 401(k)s have morphed into 201(k)s.

Bottom line: Tanking property values in Detroit with little sign of a turnaround could spell opportunity for public investment for a public good.
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